![]() Senator Joe Manchin, the West Virginia Democrat who profits from polluting industries, will shape President Biden’s climate legislation.Ī plan to provide green cards to 8 million undocumented immigrants cannot be part of an upcoming spending bill, a Senate official ruled. “Test to stay”: School districts are trying to keep uninfected students in the classroom after a virus exposure. Anthony Fauci urged vaccinated Americans not to get a booster shot until they’re eligible. With Spain’s Delta surge in retreat, Madrid will remove most restrictions.ĭr. cases will keep declining during the early autumn. If recent history repeats itself - a big if - U.S. and one that appears to be slowly becoming a little less bad. As my colleague Apoorva Mandavilli has written, Covid has given everybody a crash course in scientific uncertainty.įor now, the best summary may be that Covid is both an unnecessarily bad crisis in the U.S. The pandemic has spent almost two years surprising people, often for the worse. Or maybe the onset of colder weather or some mysterious force will lead case numbers to rebound in coming weeks. Maybe those packed football games will cause new outbreaks that are not yet visible in the data. There have been exceptions to it, and there will be more. The second caveat is that the encouraging trends of the past couple of weeks are not guaranteed to continue.Ĭovid’s two-month cycle is not a scientific law. It’s a modern tragedy, caused by the widespread distrust that Americans feel toward society’s major institutions and exacerbated by online disinformation. Yet many people have chosen to leave themselves unprotected. The vaccines radically reduce the chances of serious Covid illness, and deaths are occurring overwhelmingly among the unvaccinated. The unvaccinated continue to be disproportionately people without a college degree and Republican voters. Almost one in four American adults still has not received a shot. after getting off to an excellent start - now trails many of these countries in Covid vaccination rate. If Mississippi were its own country, it would have one of the world’s worst total death tolls per capita, CNN’s Jake Tapper noted yesterday. death rate over the past two weeks, adjusted for population, is more than twice as high as Britain’s, more than seven times as high as Canada’s and more than 10 times as high as Germany’s. The situation here is worse than in almost any other country. ![]() As a result, the seven-day average of Covid cases (the measure that many trackers highlight) has been distorted for much of this month. With testing centers and laboratories closed for the holiday weekend, cases plunged artificially during the long weekend, before surging - also artificially - in the days after. Those charts have recently been messy because of Labor Day. Right now, it is hard to figure out what’s happening from the much-watched charts that track daily Covid cases. All this socializing has led some epidemiologists to predict that cases could surge this month. On the other hand, schools across the country have recently reopened, and some other activities - like crowded college football games and Broadway plays - have restarted. In the U.S., the Delta wave began in early July, a bit more than two months ago. Although scientists don’t understand why, Covid has often followed a two-month cycle: When cases begin rising in a country, they often do so for about two months, before starting to decline. On the one hand, the country may be on the verge of a virtuous cycle of declining cases. In today’s newsletter, I’ll try to make sense of it, with help from four charts created by my colleague Ashley Wu. But this is also a moment when the Covid-19 data is unusually tricky to read. has reached another potential turning point in the pandemic.
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